Figure 11: Maps showing the variation in probability of volcanic eruptions across the YMR calculated using method 3. As in Figure 5, the logarithm of probability of a volcano forming within a 8 km² area during the next 10,000 years is contoured using m = 12 nearest-neighbors and all volcanoes in data set 1 formed less than 5 Ma (a) and m = 5 nearest-neighborsand all volcanoes in data set 2 formed less than 2 Ma.The contour interval is 0.25 log(P[N = 1, 10,000 yr]) (e.g., -4 is a probability of 1 x 10^-4 of a new volcano forming within an 8 km² area in 10,000 years), and other symbols are as in Figure 5.